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Environment & Science

‘The plants have noticed': USDA’s gardener's guide shows a warming Lehigh Valley

Rose Garden
Will Oliver
/
LehighValleyNews.com
Last updated more than a decade ago, the USDA's new plant hardiness zone map shows a warmer Lehigh Valley.

BETHLEHEM, Pa. — The consequences of climate change are already here — the numbers don’t lie, Natasha Woods said Friday.

“We don't reach those low winter temperatures anymore, and there are consequences for that,” said Woods, an assistant professor of biology at Moravian University. “Consequences for the [plant] species that are able to survive here.

“When you start thinking about the timing of seasons, and when it goes awry, there are consequences not just for plants, but for pollinators and, eventually, for people.”

The U.S. Department of Agriculture in mid-November updated its plant hardiness map, a resource that helps gardeners nationwide determine which plants would thrive in a given region. Last updated more than a decade ago, the new map shows a warmer Lehigh Valley. While experts said the change in zones has little immediate impact, the map illustrates a warming climate, stressing the need to mitigate any further effects while building resilience to those already here.

The majority of the Valley — including Allentown, Bethlehem and Easton — have moved from zone 6b to 7a, according to the latest map. Based on 30-year averages for the lowest annual winter temperatures, the region warmed from -5 to 0 degrees to 0 to 5 degrees.

For many gardeners and farmers, the updated map only confirmed what they have already suspected for years.

“For a lot of gardeners, they said ‘This confirmed exactly what I was thinking – something is happening.’ Now, we have the map that says, ‘Yes, we've gotten warmer.’
Natasha Woods, an assistant professor of biology at Moravian University

“They just didn't have the verbiage,” said Woods. “For a lot of gardeners, they said ‘This confirmed exactly what I was thinking – something is happening.’ Now, we have the map that says, ‘Yes, we've gotten warmer.’

“And that makes a difference for some plants — that makes a difference.”

‘It's climbing up’

The plant hardiness zone map, developed by Oregon State University’s PRISM Climate Group and the USDA’s Agricultural Research Service, is divided into just more than a dozen zones, with each representing a 10-degrees-Fahrenheit range of temperatures. Each zone is further divided into two half zones, with each representing a 5-degree range.

The new plant hardiness map incorporates data from 13,412 weather stations, compared to the 7,983 that were used for the 2012 edition, officials said in a news release announcing the updated map.

USDA's plant hardiness zone map
Courtesy
/
U.S. Department of Agriculture
The U.S. Department of Agriculture in mid-November updated its plant hardiness map, a resource that helps gardeners countrywide determine which plants would thrive in a given region.

And the Valley isn’t the only region that warmed — half the country did, too.

“Overall, the 2023 map is about 2.5 degrees warmer than the 2012 map across the conterminous United States,” said Christopher Daly, director of the PRISM Climate Group and the map’s lead author. “This translated into about half of the country shifting to a warmer 5-degree half zone, and half remaining in the same half zone.

“The central Plains and Midwest generally warmed the most, with the southwestern U.S. warming very little.”

Fred Buse, a master gardener who has tracked climate change for 40 years from his South Whitehall Township home, said the new map wasn’t surprising at all. He’s been taking note of the high and low temperatures each day.

“My records show that it's climbing up,” Buse said. “The graphs I have show that it’s increasing.”

Fred Buse Temperature Chart
Courtesy
/
Fred Buse
Fred Buse, a master gardener who has tracked climate change for 40 years from his Allentown home, has been taking note of the high and low temperatures each day. Compiling the data, he can show how the average temperature has warmed over the past several decades.

Looking at the plants that thrive in different zones, there isn’t too much difference between 6b and 7a, Buse said, but residents can see the change in timing.

“The perennials are going to bloom earlier, and the trees are going to develop the leaves earlier,” Buse said. “It's also important for the farmer's crops, too, because the crops which might have needed cold weather, they have to move that further north.”

‘The plants have noticed’

Eli Stogsdill, a project manager and farmer at the Monocacy Farm Project, said they’re trying to build resilience and, at the same time, diversify their crops to keep up with the warming climate.

“In addition to the types of vegetables that we're planting, we're also planting some of the trees and tree crops as ways to have annual and perennial plants and ecosystems that we're working with so that there's just more partners to be navigating the changing climate with,” he said. “And, in a year where certain crops might have a hard time, we're not entirely dependent on them for our work.”

The nonprofit farm, which this year celebrated a decade of supporting the Valley’s hungry, aims to help educate residents about sustainable farming practices, and adapting to a changing climate is key.

“Part of our work is to demonstrate and show people these things and to be a place where people can observe some of these changes and to talk about them, engage with them,” Stogsdill said. “That's the kind of thing that farms like ours and other projects throughout the Valley should be open to exploring and the type of educational program that we could be building that actually builds useful data for people that are trying to plant and grow and navigate these changes.”

As climate change continues, plants either adjust to new conditions, or they don’t, Woods said.

“If we had been looking at this more frequently, we would have already noticed these slight changes that are getting warmer and warmer,” she said. “But the plants have noticed, and the plants are making adjustments as a species.”

For example, the sugar maple, a flowering plant, has adapted to a colder environment. As the region warms, those plants will seek cooler temperatures.

“But, at the same time, species that normally are not here will start to migrate from the south to this northern climate because it's getting too hot for them down south,” she said.

While short-term or seasonal gardening may be less impacted, it’s plants that can live for hundreds of years, like trees, that now need more consideration.

“If you want longevity, you're going to have to start thinking about how the climate is changing, and plants that thrive in these warmer areas in the U.S. and we are projected to have warmer temperatures here,” she said. “Then, find out which species are doing well in those zones and you can start planting those here and seeing, over time, how well they adjust.”